Dolphin Tale, which earned a superlative “A+” CinemaScore while finishing third last weekend, vaulted to the top of the charts with an estimated $14.2 million as it dropped just 26% from its opening frame.  Dolphin Tale’s surge to the top paralleled the path of The Help, another uplifting saga that earned an “A+” rating that helped it take the box office crown during its second week, even though it wasn’t able to gain the number one spot during its debut.  The well-reviewed baseball saga Moneyball dropped just 36% and finished a close second with an estimated $12.5 million, while the surprising 3-D release of The Lion King slipped 49.6% to finish in third with an estimated $11 million.
 

Weekend Box Office (Studio Estimates): September 30 - October 2, 2011

 

Film

Weekend Gross

Screens

Avg./

Screen

Total Gross

Wk#

1

Dolphin Tale

$14,245,000

3,515

$4,053

$37,516,000

2

2

Moneyball

$12,500,000

2,993

$4,176

$38,469,000

2

3

The Lion King (in 3D)

$11,057,000

2,340

$4,725

$79,652,000

3

4

50/50

$8,858,000

2,458

$3,604

$8,858,000

1

5

Courageous

$8,800,000

1,161

$7,580

$8,800,000

1

6

Dream House

$8,209,000

2,661

$3,085

$8,209,000

1

7

Abduction

$5,650,000

3,118

$1,812

$19,139,000

2

8

What's Your Number?

$5,600,000

3,002

$1,865

$5,600,000

1

9

Contagion

$5,040,000

2,744

$1,837

$64,702,000

4

10

Killer Elite

$4,855,000

2,986

$1,626

$17,439,000

2

 
These three holdovers topped the charts, but a trio of newcomers, all of which earned between $8 and $9 million, also helped boost the anemic box office (early October is sort of a box office desert) up 5% over the same weekend in 2011.  The apparent best of the newcomers was the “cancer comedy” 50/50, which is based on a true story and stars Joseph Gordon Leavitt and Seth Rogen.  50/50 drew an audience that was 54% female and 57% under 30.  With a solid “A-“ CinemaScore, 50/50 has a chance to hang around for a few weeks.
 
The faith-themed Courageous finished right behind, though it actually did nearly twice as well on a per-theater basis, posting the highest average ($7,580) of the weekend.  Courageous managed a potent “A+” CinemaScore, so expect this movie to demonstrate strong legs in the coming weeks.  The audience for Courageous was 53% female and skewed older with 77% over the age of 25.
 
Coming in third among the newbies was the haunted house movie Dream House, which brought in a mere $8.2 million, far below other scary domicile movies like The Amityville Horror, which debuted with $23.5 million.  Dream House, which stars Daniel Craig and Rachel Weisz, earned a pitiful 5% positive rating from the critics collected by review aggregator Rotten Tomatoes, but the opening weekend audience, which was 54% female and 62% under 25, at least gave the film a mediocre “B” CinemaScore.  Still the stink of the “bomb” permeates every room of Dream House, which will likely have a very short run in theaters.
 
The worst performer of a quartet of widely released new films was What’s Your Number?, which starred Anna Faris as a woman who looked up her former lovers to see if she might have failed to recognize “Mr. Right.”  The movie posted the fifth worst opening ever for a film released in over 3,000 theaters (and it also had the benefit of a major TV ad campaign).  Predictably the audience was predominantly female (63%) and older (63% over 25).